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ZIP Code Market Report · 85203 · Mesa, AZ

85203 Mesa North Housing Market

ZIP 85203 median sale: $440K · Phoenix Metro HPI -1.9% YoY · Mesa, AZ
Updated October 22, 2026 — refreshed nightly from ARMLS closed sales

Haus Signal: ↘ 6 · Typical for 85203. Supply and demand are balanced — 2.5 months of inventory, 46 days on market. Neither buyers nor sellers hold a decisive edge right now.

Haus Signal · 85203 Updated October 22, 2026
↘6
6 below typical · Typical for 85203
Scored vs Mesa North · 12-quarter history · net of season
CoolTypicalWarm
Supply and demand are roughly even — 2.5 months of inventory, 66 active listings, and homes averaging 46 days on market. At a 96.7% negotiation index, neither side holds a decisive edge, and sale prices are tracking close to recent comparable sales.
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See how this market has shifted over the last 30 days and what leading indicators suggest for the next 60–90 days. The full layered read — current temperature, recent trend, and forward forecast — unlocks with a free account.
Median Price
$440K
ZIP 85203 · 90-day median
Source: Opitz Housing Report · ARMLS © · closed sales · 90-day · Updated Oct 22 · ZIP 85203
Median Days on Mkt
46
ZIP 85203 median
Source: Opitz Housing Report · ARMLS © · closed sales · Updated Oct 22 · ZIP 85203
Months of Supply
2.5
Balanced
Source: Opitz Housing Report · ARMLS © · active inventory ÷ sales rate · Updated Oct 22 · ZIP 85203
Price Reductions
55%
Elevated
Source: Opitz Housing Report · ARMLS © · active listings · Updated Oct 22 · ZIP 85203
Own a home in 85203? Talk to Bradley about selling →  ·  Looking to buy here? Ask about buying →
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85203 Mesa North · ARMLS data · Free to access

Market Snapshot

85203 · Mesa
Active Listings
66
▲ 11.1% MoM
Source: Opitz Housing Report · ARMLS © · active feed · Updated Oct 22 · ZIP 85203
Sale vs. Original List
96.7%
Close price ÷ original ask
Source: Opitz Housing Report · ARMLS © · ClosePrice ÷ OriginalListPrice · Updated Oct 22 · ZIP 85203
YOY Appreciation
-1.9%
Phoenix Metro HPI
OHR HPI · BMN repeat-sales · Phoenix Metro
Time to Contract
33d
In the Haus Signal
Source: Opitz Housing Report · ARMLS © · median list → under-contract · ZIP 85203
OHR Home Price Index
Phoenix Metro Appreciation
Now
—
Current quarter to date
Last 12 Months
—
Phoenix metro · vs. one year ago
Last 5 Years
—  
Total · annualized rate
Last 10 Years
—  
Total · annualized rate
—
OHR Derived · Bailey-Muth-Nourse repeat-sales regression on ARMLS data
Data reflects aggregate ARMLS market trends as of October 22, 2026. Sign up for real-time updates.

What a Free Account Unlocks for 85203

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Your Property's Value in 85203

Get an estimated value range for your home based on recent closed sales in Mesa North. Current median sale price: $440K.

Daily Haus Signal for 85203

Today's reading: ↘ 6 · Typical for 85203. Track how this ZIP shifts week to week with 7 weighted indicators.

Mesa North Comparables

Recent sales, price trends, DOM patterns, and negotiation-index data — the same intel licensed agents use to advise their clients.

How the Haus Signal Works

The Haus Signal is a three-layer read of the market — current temperature (NOW), recent trend (DIRECTION), and a 60–90 day forecast (FORECAST) — scored against each ZIP's own historical distribution. Every input is derived directly from ARMLS closed and active transaction records. No estimates. No third-party projections.

3
Layers · NOW · DIRECTION · FORECAST
Current temperature uses months of supply, DOM, sale-to-list ratio, and price reductions. Direction tracks the 30-day delta as snapshots accumulate. Forecast reads leading indicators — pending volume, inventory change, $/sqft momentum — for the next 60–90 days.
0–100
Per-ZIP Relative Score
Each indicator is scored against this ZIP's own 12-quarter distribution, not against a Phoenix-wide breakpoint table. 50 = typical for this ZIP, 0 = at the floor of its own 3-year range, 100 = at the ceiling. So "Cool for 85253" means PV-relative cool, not metro-relative.
24h
Refresh Cycle
Inputs recalculate daily as new closed sales, pending contracts, and listing changes flow through ARMLS. The per-ZIP HPI series refreshes weekly via Bailey-Muth-Nourse repeat-sales regression.
ZIP
Level Precision
Metro figures hide the story. Paradise Valley and Maryvale aren't the same market — their typical DOM, sale-to-list spread, and supply rhythm are structurally different. The Haus Signal honors that.
Agents and homeowners across Maricopa County use this data daily

Considering Mesa North from out of state?

At a $440K median sale price and 46 days on market, Mesa North is one of the Phoenix metro's more competitive markets. Inventory is tight — create a free account to track daily changes so you're prepared when you visit.

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Work Directly With Bradley
Selling or buying in 85203? Talk to the person behind the data.
Everything on this page comes from the same ARMLS data I use with my own clients. When you're ready to act on it — listing a home in Mesa North, buying one here, or both — reach out and you'll hear back from me directly.
Bradley Opitz
Founder & CEO
Licensed AZ REALTOR® · RETSY Real Estate

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