ARMLS Data
Licensed REALTOR®
Updated Daily
107 ZIP Codes
ZIP Code Market Report · 85263 · Rio Verde, AZ

85263 Rio Verde / Tonto Verde Housing Market

ZIP 85263 median sale: $710K · Phoenix Metro HPI -1.9% YoY · Rio Verde, AZ
Updated October 22, 2026 — refreshed nightly from ARMLS closed sales

Haus Signal: → 0 · Typical for 85263. Supply and demand are balanced — 12.9 months of inventory, 57 days on market. Neither buyers nor sellers hold a decisive edge right now.

Haus Signal · 85263 Updated October 22, 2026
→0
at typical · Typical for 85263
Scored vs Rio Verde / Tonto Verde · 12-quarter history · net of season
CoolTypicalWarm
Supply and demand are roughly even — 12.9 months of inventory, 120 active listings, and homes averaging 57 days on market. At a 94.7% negotiation index, neither side holds a decisive edge, and sale prices are tracking close to recent comparable sales.
Free Dashboard Preview
See how this market has shifted over the last 30 days and what leading indicators suggest for the next 60–90 days. The full layered read — current temperature, recent trend, and forward forecast — unlocks with a free account.
Median Price
$710K
ZIP 85263 · 90-day median
Source: Opitz Housing Report · ARMLS © · closed sales · 90-day · Updated Oct 22 · ZIP 85263
Median Days on Mkt
57
ZIP 85263 median
Source: Opitz Housing Report · ARMLS © · closed sales · Updated Oct 22 · ZIP 85263
Months of Supply
12.9
Buyer favoring
Source: Opitz Housing Report · ARMLS © · active inventory ÷ sales rate · Updated Oct 22 · ZIP 85263
Price Reductions
25%
Normal range
Source: Opitz Housing Report · ARMLS © · active listings · Updated Oct 22 · ZIP 85263
Own a home in 85263? Talk to Bradley about selling →  ·  Looking to buy here? Ask about buying →
Get YOUR Full Market Report — Free →
85263 Rio Verde / Tonto Verde · ARMLS data · Free to access

Market Snapshot

85263 · Rio Verde
Active Listings
120
▲ 11.1% MoM
Source: Opitz Housing Report · ARMLS © · active feed · Updated Oct 22 · ZIP 85263
Sale vs. Original List
94.7%
Close price ÷ original ask
Source: Opitz Housing Report · ARMLS © · ClosePrice ÷ OriginalListPrice · Updated Oct 22 · ZIP 85263
YOY Appreciation
-1.9%
Phoenix Metro HPI
OHR HPI · BMN repeat-sales · Phoenix Metro
Time to Contract
45d
In the Haus Signal
Source: Opitz Housing Report · ARMLS © · median list → under-contract · ZIP 85263
OHR Home Price Index
Phoenix Metro Appreciation
Now
—
Current quarter to date
Last 12 Months
—
Phoenix metro · vs. one year ago
Last 5 Years
—  
Total · annualized rate
Last 10 Years
—  
Total · annualized rate
—
OHR Derived · Bailey-Muth-Nourse repeat-sales regression on ARMLS data
Data reflects aggregate ARMLS market trends as of October 22, 2026. Sign up for real-time updates.

What a Free Account Unlocks for 85263

The data on this page updates daily. A free account gives you the full picture.

Your Property's Value in 85263

Get an estimated value range for your home based on recent closed sales in Rio Verde / Tonto Verde. Current median sale price: $710K.

Daily Haus Signal for 85263

Today's reading: → 0 · Typical for 85263. Track how this ZIP shifts week to week with 7 weighted indicators.

Rio Verde / Tonto Verde Comparables

Recent sales, price trends, DOM patterns, and negotiation-index data — the same intel licensed agents use to advise their clients.

How the Haus Signal Works

The Haus Signal is a three-layer read of the market — current temperature (NOW), recent trend (DIRECTION), and a 60–90 day forecast (FORECAST) — scored against each ZIP's own historical distribution. Every input is derived directly from ARMLS closed and active transaction records. No estimates. No third-party projections.

3
Layers · NOW · DIRECTION · FORECAST
Current temperature uses months of supply, DOM, sale-to-list ratio, and price reductions. Direction tracks the 30-day delta as snapshots accumulate. Forecast reads leading indicators — pending volume, inventory change, $/sqft momentum — for the next 60–90 days.
0–100
Per-ZIP Relative Score
Each indicator is scored against this ZIP's own 12-quarter distribution, not against a Phoenix-wide breakpoint table. 50 = typical for this ZIP, 0 = at the floor of its own 3-year range, 100 = at the ceiling. So "Cool for 85253" means PV-relative cool, not metro-relative.
24h
Refresh Cycle
Inputs recalculate daily as new closed sales, pending contracts, and listing changes flow through ARMLS. The per-ZIP HPI series refreshes weekly via Bailey-Muth-Nourse repeat-sales regression.
ZIP
Level Precision
Metro figures hide the story. Paradise Valley and Maryvale aren't the same market — their typical DOM, sale-to-list spread, and supply rhythm are structurally different. The Haus Signal honors that.
Agents and homeowners across Maricopa County use this data daily

Considering Rio Verde / Tonto Verde from out of state?

With 12.9 months of supply, Rio Verde / Tonto Verde offers more negotiating room than many Phoenix metro markets. Create a free account to track this market daily — so you're informed when you're ready to make offers.

This is the data your agent uses. Now you have it too.

The Opitz Housing Report gives homeowners the same market intelligence that licensed agents rely on — sourced directly from ARMLS, updated daily, and free to access.

Get Your Free Market Report → See What Agents Get

Not in Arizona yet? No problem — your free account works from anywhere.

Work Directly With Bradley
Selling or buying in 85263? Talk to the person behind the data.
Everything on this page comes from the same ARMLS data I use with my own clients. When you're ready to act on it — listing a home in Rio Verde / Tonto Verde, buying one here, or both — reach out and you'll hear back from me directly.
Bradley Opitz
Founder & CEO
Licensed AZ REALTOR® · RETSY Real Estate

Explore Nearby Markets

85253
Paradise Valley
Median $3.53M
Haus Signal: ↘ 15 · Cool for 85253
85255
DC Ranch / McDowell Mountain Ranch
Median $1.49M · 10-yr +106% (metro +101%)
Haus Signal: → 0 · Typical for 85255
85250
Central Scottsdale
Median $608K
Haus Signal: ↘ 30 · Cool for 85250
85254
North Scottsdale / Kierland
Median $1.01M · 10-yr +117% (metro +101%)
Haus Signal: ↘ 9 · Typical for 85254
85268
Fountain Hills
Median $717K · 10-yr +88% (metro +101%)
Haus Signal: ↘ 13 · Cool for 85268
85251
Old Town Scottsdale
Median $545K · 10-yr +102% (metro +101%)
Haus Signal: ↘ 32 · Cold for 85251
85257
Scottsdale / Papago Area
Median $580K
Haus Signal: ↘ 22 · Cool for 85257
85260
Scottsdale Airpark / Scottsdale Ranch
Median $825K · 10-yr +90% (metro +101%)
Haus Signal: ↘ 17 · Cool for 85260