Phoenix Metro Dashboard — Opitz Housing Report

Phoenix Metro · Live Dashboard

Arizona Market
Intelligence.

Real-time Phoenix Metro housing data built on raw ARMLS transaction records — updated daily, ZIP by ZIP. Create a free account to personalize your dashboard and track specific markets.

Last updated: · Data source: ARMLS · 133 ZIP codes · Public Access

Phoenix Metro Area

Core Market Metrics — Phoenix Metro

Derived from ARMLS closed & active data

Median Price

$612K

▲ 2.1% YOY

3-mo trend: +0.4%

Price Per SqFt

$286

→ +1.4% YOY

Slowing from 3.1% last qtr

Active Listings

14,820

▲ 8.3% MOM

Inventory rising quickly

Months of Supply

2.8 mo

→ Up from 2.4

Balanced: 3–5 months

Pending Listings

5,039

▼ 4.2% MOM

Demand softening

Avg Days on Market

→ +6 days MOM

CDOM avg: 67 days

Negotiation Index

95.8%

▼ from 97.1%

Sale ÷ Original List

Seller Concessions

1.6%

▲ from 0.9% last yr

Median of sale price

Haus Signal

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Market Signal ·

Bearish Signal

Market Softening

Inventory is rising, demand is softening, and seller concessions are climbing — buyers hold the advantage in the $600K–$900K range over the next 60–90 days.

Full Breakdown — Agent Plan

See all 7 leading indicators, the full composite score, and the 60-day price probability outlook.

0.34

P/A Ratio

−4.2%

Pending Vol

37%

Price Red.

1.6%

Concessions

See Full Breakdown — $97/mo →

Buyer vs. Seller

Balanced

Market conditions favor neither side strongly. Buyers gaining slight leverage in mid-price ranges.

Price Trajectory

Flat→Soft

Prices expected to stay flat or soften slightly over the next 60–90 days based on leading indicators.

Negotiation Climate

Buyer Edge

Concessions rising to 1.6% — buyers can expect meaningful negotiating room on closing costs and repairs.

What This Means — Context

For Buyers

Conditions are shifting in your favor. Rising inventory and climbing concessions mean you have more negotiating room than 12 months ago. The $600K–$900K range offers the most leverage right now. Don't rush — the data suggests prices stay flat-to-soft for the next quarter.

For Sellers

Pricing accuracy matters more than it has in years. 37% of listings are taking price reductions — a sign that over-priced homes are sitting. Homes priced at or slightly below market are still selling in 38–45 days. Consult current comps carefully before listing.

Overall Signal

The Phoenix Metro is in a transition phase — moving from the post-pandemic seller's market toward more balanced conditions. Not a crash. Not a crisis. A normalization. ZIP-level conditions vary significantly — create a free account to track your specific market.

Recent Market Updates

Phoenix Metro inventory climbed 8.3% MOM — the largest single-month gain since May 2023.

Seller concessions rose to 1.6% — now above the 1.5% threshold that historically precedes price softening.

Pending volume declined 4.2% MOM, signaling reduced buyer urgency entering spring season.

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ZIP Code Intelligence — All 133 Markets

🔒 Agent Plan

85018

Arcadia / Biltmore

$1,148K

Seller Mkt

85016

Biltmore / Camelback

$892K

Balanced

85253

Paradise Valley

$3,220K

Buyer Mkt

85254

N. Scottsdale / Kierland

$868K

Balanced

85255

N. Scottsdale / DC Ranch

$1,480K

Balanced

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ZIP Code Detail — Agent Plan

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7 Leading Indicators — 60–90 Day Forecast

🔒 Agent Plan

0.34

P/A Ratio

−4.2%

New Pending

37%

Price Red.

1.6%

Concessions

+8.3%

Inventory

+6d

DOM Accel.

+0.3%

PPSF Mom.

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Leading Indicators — Agent Plan

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