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Phoenix Metro · Haus Signal · Free preview
·Reading the signal…
CoolTypicalWarm
NOW Reading the market signal…
30 DAYS Reading the 30-day direction…
60–90D Forecast forming…
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Source: Opitz Housing Report · ARMLS ©
Core Market Metrics — Maricopa County
Derived from Maricopa County ARMLS closed & active data — see the Industry Reference tile for broader-ARMLS context
Median Price
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— Awaiting refresh
Median sale price of Maricopa County homes closed in the last 90 days. The year-over-year badge is the OHR Home Price Index, which tracks the same homes reselling, so it isn't swayed by which homes happened to sell.
Median = the middle value. Unlike averages, it isn't skewed by a few very high or very low sales.
Source: Opitz Housing Report · ARMLS © · closed sales · 90-day median
Median Price / SqFt
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— Awaiting refresh
What homes cost per square foot — controls for size mix
Source: Opitz Housing Report · ARMLS © · closed sales · median $/sqft · 90-day
Active Listings
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Awaiting refresh
Homes actively for sale across Maricopa County — your options as a buyer
Source: Opitz Housing Report · ARMLS © · active feed · Updated —
Months of Supply
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Awaiting refresh
How long it would take to sell every listed home at today's pace
Source: Opitz Housing Report · ARMLS © · active ÷ sales rate · Updated —
Pending Listings
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Awaiting refresh
Homes currently under contract and waiting to close — buyer demand in motion
Source: Opitz Housing Report · ARMLS © · Pending + Active Under Contract · Updated —
Median Days on Market
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Awaiting refresh
Median days from listing to contract for homes that closed
Source: Opitz Housing Report · ARMLS © · closed sales · median days · Updated —
Sale to Original List
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Awaiting refresh
Median sale price as a share of the ORIGINAL asking price, so it includes any price cuts along the way
Source: Opitz Housing Report · ARMLS © · closed sales · median ClosePrice ÷ OriginalListPrice · Updated —
% Closed Sales Reduced
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Awaiting refresh
Share of recently-closed homes that went through at least one price cut before closing
Source: Opitz Housing Report · ARMLS © · OriginalListPrice > ListPrice · 90-day rolling
Closed Sales (90-day)
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Awaiting refresh
Total homes closed in the last 90 days — overall market activity
Source: Opitz Housing Report · ARMLS © · closed sales · 90-day · count · Updated —
% Closing At or Above Asking
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Awaiting refresh
Share of recent closings where the buyer paid the full ask or more
Source: Opitz Housing Report · ARMLS © · ClosePrice ≥ ListPrice · 90-day rolling · Updated —
Median Asking Price
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Awaiting refresh
What sellers are currently asking on active listings — pair with median sale to see the gap
Source: Opitz Housing Report · ARMLS © · active feed · median list price · Updated —
Median Price Cut
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Awaiting refresh
When a closed sale was reduced, this is how much sellers cut from their original asking
Source: Opitz Housing Report · ARMLS © · closed sales · median reduction $ · 90-day rolling
Active Listings with a Price Cut
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Awaiting refresh
Share of homes on the market right now that have lowered their asking price at least once
Source: Opitz Housing Report · ARMLS © · Active · MajorChangeType = Price Reduced · Updated —
Cash Buyers
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Awaiting refresh
Share of recent closings paid in cash — the part of the buyer pool that does not move with mortgage rates
Source: Opitz Housing Report · ARMLS © · closed sales · BuyerFinancing = Cash · 90-day rolling · Updated —
New Listings (30-day)
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Awaiting refresh
Homes newly listed in the last 30 days — supply coming on, the counterpart to Closed Sales
Source: Opitz Housing Report · ARMLS © · ListingContractDate · 30-day · count · Updated —
Absorption Rate
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Awaiting refresh
Share of active listings that sell in a month — the same reading as Months of Supply, turned around
Source: Opitz Housing Report · ARMLS © · monthly closed-sales rate (90-day) ÷ Active · Updated —
Industry Reference
Reference
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SFR Active + Coming Soon
Matches what ARMLS publishes in its public STAT report — the headline number agents quote and news media reference. OHR's other metrics use Maricopa County single-family homes, condos, and townhouses (Active only) so every derived analytic stays apples-to-apples. Note: this count reflects ARMLS's full coverage area — about 1-2% comes from outlying towns like Payson, Globe, and Wickenburg that ARMLS serves but most buyers wouldn't consider Phoenix Metro.
Source: Opitz Housing Report · ARMLS © · all coverage areas · Active + Coming Soon · live
Source: Opitz Housing Report · ARMLS ©
What's Happening Right Now
Phoenix Metro ·
How the broader Phoenix housing market is behaving right now — and what it means for buyers, sellers, and the metro overall. Indicators reflect Maricopa County single-family + condo + townhouse closed sales (last 90 days) and active listings.
For Buyers
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For Sellers
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Overall Signal
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Source: Opitz Housing Report · ARMLS © · Updated —
Market Snapshot
Plain-English Takeaways
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Active listings vs. pending absorption rate
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Median days from listing to contract
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Share of active listings with at least one price reduction
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Sale vs. Original List Price — total negotiation from first ask to close
Source: Opitz Housing Report · ARMLS ©
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Cash sales
Maricopa County
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Source: Opitz Housing Report · Maricopa County Assessor
Rate Lock-In Effect
Rate Sensitivity
Average Locked Rate
Source: Opitz Housing Report · FRED · Optimal Blue · U.S. Treasury
Phoenix Metro Appreciation
OHR Home Price Index
Last Settled Quarter · YoY
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Phoenix metro · vs. one year ago
Now
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Current quarter to date
Year-over-Year Change
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vs. the prior quarter's YoY
Last 5 Years
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Total · annualized rate
Last 10 Years
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Total · annualized rate
Market Insight
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Source: Opitz Housing Report · ARMLS ©
Automated valuations are estimates only — not an appraisal. If a property doesn't appraise for the purchase price, the buyer's appraisal contingency allows cancellation. Always consult a licensed appraiser.
Markets You're Watching
Buying or selling in one of these areas? Talk to Bradley →
Source: Opitz Housing Report · ARMLS ©
Local Real Estate News
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Work Directly With Bradley
Ready to sell or buy? Talk to the person behind the data.
Everything on this page comes from the same ARMLS data I use with my own clients. When you're ready to act on it — listing your home, buying your next one, or both — reach out and you'll hear back from me directly.
Bradley Opitz
Founder & CEO
Licensed AZ REALTOR® · RETSY Real Estate